Behind-the-Meter Generation Forecasting for Grid Visibility
Overview
Northern Ireland’s ambitious objective, as outlined in the Energy Strategy and the Climate Change Act, of generating 80% of its electricity from renewable sources by 2030, brings massive opportunities and challenges. To ensure cost-effective, efficient operation of the network, there is now a greater need to forecast and actively manage energy flows across the network at all voltage levels. System operators are facing substantial growth in customer adoption of behind-the-meter (BTM) generation, including solar panels, electric vehicles, and energy storage systems, in the coming years. The lack of control over when and where these systems connect can lead to the overloading of existing infrastructure, preventing the connection of additional generation capacity. Queen’s University Belfast, in conjunction with NIE Networks & SONI (System Operator for Northern Ireland), is seeking a highly motivated individual for a collaborative PhD research project on ‘Behind-the-Meter Generation Forecasting for Grid Visibility’. The student will spend at least 3 months with SONI and NIE, located in Belfast. This is a unique opportunity for a student to gain valuable industrial experience from both transmission system operator and distribution system operator in Northern Ireland. The student will spend time training with the engineers in SONI and NIE to understand the research problem and practical challenges. The collaboration provides the student with the opportunity to develop skills required by the power industry through placement and industry training. Working with NIE and SONI also provides a valuable opportunity for the student to translate academic knowledge and research into real-world power system applications.
Micro and small-scale solar PV capacity in the Northern Ireland System has grown from virtually zero in 2011 to over 150 MW across over 27,000 sites as of 2023. It is expected that the uncontrolled rooftop PV power feed-in could reach nearly 20% of Northern Ireland’s system demand (approx. 800 MW) between 11am and 2pm during sunny days in the summer period. Similarly, the small-scale wind installation, with a capacity of about 180 MW, could contribute to approximately 30% of the system’s demand (approx. 500 MW) between 1am and 4am. This challenge is further exacerbated by the increasing adoption of energy storage system and electric vehicles (EVs). More specifically, the adoption of EVs (with NIE estimating 300,000 EVs in Northern Ireland by 2030) adds another layer of unpredictability. As EVs charge, they can introduce significant loads on the system, and the timing of these charging sessions can vary depending on user behaviours, public charging infrastructure, and other factors.
Accurate behind-the-meter estimations, together with capacity and generation forecasts, thus play a key role in balancing supply and demand and network management. The objectives of the projects are:
• To investigate advanced modelling tools, including artificial intelligence, to gain deeper insights into the location, behaviour, and impact of behind-the-meter generation on the system.
• To innovate and incorporate advanced estimation techniques, such as capacity and specification estimation, into BTM forecasting algorithms to enhance the accuracy and reliability of BTM generation forecasts.
• To explore both top-down and bottom-up approaches to accurately predict BTM generation contributions, which may fluctuate due to weather conditions, time of day, and other variables.
• To improve the accuracy of overall load forecasting by accounting for BTM generation, which can significantly impact the net load that the grid must serve.
Funding Information
The PhD studentship, jointly funded by the Engineering & Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC), NIE Networks & SONI, commences on 1 October 2025.
To be eligible for consideration for an EPSRC Studentship (covering tuition fees and an enhanced tax-free maintenance stipend of approx. £28,000 per annum), a candidate must satisfy all the eligibility criteria based on nationality, residency and academic qualifications.
Please note that funding is only available to candidates who qualify as a ‘Home’ student. To be classed as a Home student, candidates must meet the following criteria and the associated residency requirements:
• Be a UK National,
or • Have settled status,
or • Have pre-settled status,
or • Have indefinite leave to remain or enter the UK.
Candidates from ROI may also qualify for funding.
Academic Requirements:
A First-Class or an Upper Second-Class Honours degree or equivalent in Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Computer Science, or a relevant degree is required. Candidates with strong mathematical, programming, and writing skills are highly desirable. This opportunity is particularly suited for individuals who are interested in combining data analytical skills with electrical engineering knowledge or are keen to acquire this skill set.
Project Summary
Dr Amy (Xueqin) Liu
Full-time: 3.5 Years
Electrical & Electronic Engineering overview
The School of Electronics, Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EEECS) aims to enhance the way we use technology in communication, data science, computing systems, cyber security, power electronics, intelligent control, and many related areas.
You’ll be part of a dynamic doctoral research environment and will study alongside students from
over 40 countries worldwide.
We supervise students undertaking research in key areas of electronics and
electrical engineering, including:
- Power Electronics,
- Robotics
- Wireless Communications,
- Cybersecurity
- Sensor-based Systems.
Within the School we have a number of specialist research centres. As part of a lively community of over 100 full-time and part-time research students you’ll have the opportunity to develop your research potential in a vibrant research community that prioritises the cross-fertilisation of ideas and innovation in the advancement of knowledge.
Many PhD studentships attract scholarships and top-up supplements. PhD programmes provide our students with the opportunity to acquire an extensive training in research techniques.
Electrical & Electronic Engineering Highlights
Professional Accreditations
- ECIT brings together, in one building, internationally recognised research groups specialising in key areas of advanced digital and communications technology.
Industry Links
- CSIT brings together research specialists in complementary fields such as data security, network security systems, wireless-enabled security systems, intelligent surveillance systems; and serves as the national point of reference for knowledge transfer in these areas.
- Electric Power and Energy Systems research is focused on problems related to distributed sources of energy and their integration into power networks. The cluster is a member of the IET Power Academy and is a major collaborator on all-island energy research.
- SoCaM is dedicated to the design of advanced, integrated, high-speed wireless and couples activities in High Frequency Electronics, System-on-Chip, Signals and Systems and Digital Signal Processing, and for Gigabit/sec wireless.
World Class Facilities
- The Institute of Electronics, Communications and Information Technology, with state-of-the-art technology, offers a bespoke research environment.
Internationally Renowned Experts
- You will be working under the supervision of leading international academic experts.
Key Facts
Research students are encouraged to play a full and active role in relation to the wide range of research activities undertaken within the School and there are many resources available including:
- A wide range of personal development and specialist training courses offered through the Personal Development programme
- Access to the Queen's University Postgraduate Researcher Development Programme
- Office accommodation with access to computing facilities and support to attend conferences for full-time PhD students
Course content
Research Information
Associated Research
Research within the School is organised into research themes.
ECIT brings together, in one building, internationally recognised research groups specialising in key areas of advanced digital and communications technology.
Electric Power and Energy Systems research is focused on problems related to distributed sources of energy and their integration into power networks. The cluster is a member of the IET Power Academy and is a major collaborator on all-island energy research.
SoCaM is dedicated to the design of advanced, integrated, high-speed wireless and couples activities in High Frequency Electronics, System-on-Chip, Signals and Systems and Digital Signal Processing, and for Gigabit/sec wireless.
PhD Opportunities
PhD opportunities are available in a wide range of subjects in electronics and electrical engineering,
aligned to the specific expertise of our PhD supervisors.
Research Impact
Queen’s is a leader in commercial impact and one of the five highest performing universities in the UK
for intellectual property commercialisation. We have created over 80 spin-out companies. Three of these -
Kainos, Andor Technology and Fusion Antibodies - have been publicly listed on the London Stock Exchange.
Research Projects
Queen’s has strong collaborative links with industry in Northern Ireland, and internationally. It has a
strong funding track record with EPSRC and the EC H2020 programme.
Career Prospects
Introduction
For further information on career opportunities at PhD level please contact the Faculty of Engineering and Physical Sciences Student Recruitment Team on askEPS@qub.ac.uk.
Our advisors - in consultation with the School - will be happy to provide further information on your research area, possible career prospects and your research application.
People teaching you
Course structure
There is no specific course content as such. You are expected to take research training modules that are supported by the School which focus on quantitative and qualitative research methods. You are also expected to carry out your research under the guidance of your supervisor.Over the course of study you can attend postgraduate skills training organised by the Graduate School.
You will normally register, in the first instance, as an ‘undifferentiated PhD student’ which means that you have satisfied staff that you are capable of undertaking a research degree.
The decision as to whether you should undertake a PhD is delayed until you have completed ‘differentiation’.
Differentiation takes place about 8-9 months after registration for full time students and about 16-18 months for part time students: You are normally asked to submit work to a panel of up two academics and this is followed up with a formal meeting with the ‘Differentiation Panel’. The Panel then make a judgement about your capacity to continue with your study. Sometimes students are advised to revise their research objectives or to consider submitting their work for an MPhil qualification rather than a doctoral qualification.
To complete with a doctoral qualification you will be required to submit a thesis of approx 80,000 words and you will be required to attend a viva voce [oral examination] with an external and internal examiner to defend your thesis.
A PhD programme runs for 3-4 years full-time or 6-8 years part-time. Students can apply for a writing up year should it be required.
The PhD is open to both full and part time candidates and is often a useful preparation for a career within academia or consultancy.
Full time students are often attracted to research degree programmes because they offer an opportunity to pursue in some depth an area of academic interest.
The part time research degree is an exciting option for professionals already working in the education field who are seeking to extend their knowledge on an issue of professional interest. Often part time candidates choose to research an area that is related to their professional responsibilities.
If you meet the Entry Requirements, the next step is to check whether we can supervise research in your chosen area. We only take students to whom we can offer expert research supervision from one of our academic staff. Therefore, your research question needs to engage with the research interests of one of our staff.
Assessment
Assessment processes for the Research Degree differ from taught degrees. Students will be expected to present write up their work at regular intervals to their supervisor who will provide written and oral feedback; a formal assessment process takes place annually.
This Annual Progress Review requires students to present their work in writing and orally to a panel of academics from within the School. Successful completion of this process will allow students to register for the next academic year.
The final assessment of the doctoral degree is both oral and written. Students will submit their thesis to an internal and external examining team who will review the written thesis before inviting the student to orally defend their work at a Viva Voce.
Feedback
Supervisors will offer feedback on the research work at regular intervals throughout the period of registration on the degree.
Facilities
Full time PhD students will have access to a shared office space and access to a desk with personal computer and internet access.
Entrance requirements
Graduate
The minimum academic requirement for admission to a research degree programme is normally an Upper Second Class Honours degree from a UK or ROI HE provider, or an equivalent qualification acceptable to the University. Further information can be obtained by contacting the School.
International Students
For information on international qualification equivalents, please check the specific information for your country.
English Language Requirements
Evidence of an IELTS* score of 6.0, with not less than 5.5 in any component, or equivalent qualification acceptable to the University is required (*taken within the last 2 years).
International students wishing to apply to Queen's University Belfast (and for whom English is not their first language), must be able to demonstrate their proficiency in English in order to benefit fully from their course of study or research. Non-EEA nationals must also satisfy UK Visas and Immigration (UKVI) immigration requirements for English language for visa purposes.
For more information on English Language requirements for EEA and non-EEA nationals see: www.qub.ac.uk/EnglishLanguageReqs.
If you need to improve your English language skills before you enter this degree programme, INTO Queen's University Belfast offers a range of English language courses. These intensive and flexible courses are designed to improve your English ability for admission to this degree.
Tuition Fees
Northern Ireland (NI) 1 | TBC |
Republic of Ireland (ROI) 2 | TBC |
England, Scotland or Wales (GB) 1 | TBC |
EU Other 3 | £25,600 |
International | £25,600 |
1 EU citizens in the EU Settlement Scheme, with settled or pre-settled status, are expected to be charged the NI or GB tuition fee based on where they are ordinarily resident, however this is provisional and subject to the publication of the Northern Ireland Assembly Student Fees Regulations. Students who are ROI nationals resident in GB are expected to be charged the GB fee, however this is provisional and subject to the publication of the Northern Ireland Assembly student fees Regulations.
2 It is expected that EU students who are ROI nationals resident in ROI will be eligible for NI tuition fees. The tuition fee set out above is provisional and subject to the publication of the Northern Ireland Assembly student fees Regulations.
3 EU Other students (excludes Republic of Ireland nationals living in GB, NI or ROI) are charged tuition fees in line with international fees.
All tuition fees quoted are for the academic year 2021-22, and relate to a single year of study unless stated otherwise. Tuition fees will be subject to an annual inflationary increase, unless explicitly stated otherwise.
More information on postgraduate tuition fees.
Electrical & Electronic Engineering costs
There are no specific additional course costs associated with this programme.
Additional course costs
All Students
Depending on the programme of study, there may also be other extra costs which are not covered by tuition fees, which students will need to consider when planning their studies . Students can borrow books and access online learning resources from any Queen's library. If students wish to purchase recommended texts, rather than borrow them from the University Library, prices per text can range from £30 to £100. Students should also budget between £30 to £100 per year for photocopying, memory sticks and printing charges. Students may wish to consider purchasing an electronic device; costs will vary depending on the specification of the model chosen. There are also additional charges for graduation ceremonies, and library fines. In undertaking a research project students may incur costs associated with transport and/or materials, and there will also be additional costs for printing and binding the thesis. There may also be individually tailored research project expenses and students should consult directly with the School for further information.
Bench fees
Some research programmes incur an additional annual charge on top of the tuition fees, often referred to as a bench fee. Bench fees are charged when a programme (or a specific project) incurs extra costs such as those involved with specialist laboratory or field work. If you are required to pay bench fees they will be detailed on your offer letter. If you have any questions about Bench Fees these should be raised with your School at the application stage. Please note that, if you are being funded you will need to ensure your sponsor is aware of and has agreed to fund these additional costs before accepting your place.
How do I fund my study?
1.PhD OpportunitiesFind PhD opportunities and funded studentships by subject area.
2.Funded Doctoral Training ProgrammesWe offer numerous opportunities for funded doctoral study in a world-class research environment. Our centres and partnerships, aim to seek out and nurture outstanding postgraduate research students, and provide targeted training and skills development.
3.PhD loansThe Government offers doctoral loans of up to £26,445 for PhDs and equivalent postgraduate research programmes for English- or Welsh-resident UK and EU students.
4.International ScholarshipsInformation on Postgraduate Research scholarships for international students.
Funding and Scholarships
The Funding & Scholarship Finder helps prospective and current students find funding to help cover costs towards a whole range of study related expenses.
How to Apply
Apply using our online Postgraduate Applications Portal and follow the step-by-step instructions on how to apply.
Find a supervisor
If you're interested in a particular project, we suggest you contact the relevant academic before you apply, to introduce yourself and ask questions.
To find a potential supervisor aligned with your area of interest, or if you are unsure of who to contact, look through the staff profiles linked here.
You might be asked to provide a short outline of your proposal to help us identify potential supervisors.